Monday, April 30, 2018

Shadow of Time Governs The Earth - 3

Time is natural
Deniers scoffed at the Dredd Blog series about "ghost water," but eventually the truth came out (NASA Busts The Ghost).

Oil-Qaeda operatives scoffed at Dredd Blog in a book written by one of their agents of propaganda (Oil-Qaeda & MOMCOM Conspire To Commit Depraved-Heart Murder- 6).

Meteorologists may have scoffed in private but would not say so in public:
Earlier I mentioned the "politics of tornadoes", which I discerned from a post at a climate blog:
"And so right now I'd say that the jury is still out as to how global warming will affect tornadoes, which of those two variables will win out," Cullen said. "But when it comes to things like heat waves, when it comes to things like heavy rainstorms, drought, wildfires, we know that the atmosphere is on steroids, if you will. So basically we know that we'd have to deal with weather-related risks. We live in a country that has always seen extreme weather. We're basically moving in a direction where we're going to see more and more of certain of these extremes."
(Heidi Cullen, Climate Central, emphasis added). The "jury is still out" ... what jury, a "balanced committee" composed of an equal number of deniers and scientists?

She knows that the "atmosphere is on steroids" but she is not sure that atmosphere has anything to do with tornadoes?
(On The Origin of Tornadoes, Dredd Blog, May 2013). That was back when I began to associate the coming demise of tornado formation (as the Polar Vortex entered a phase of demise) along with the Arctic sea ice:
Somewhere in the previous posts of this series I indicated that it was likely IMO that the number of tornadoes would go down as the Polar Vortex disintegrated ...
...
In the most recent post of this series I noted that 2014 was continuing a downward count trend ...
...
The hypothesis I offered was that when the Polar Vortex completely bit the dust then tornado counts would go up again, because the impediment caused by the disintegrating vortex would fade away eventually ...
(On The Origin of Tornadoes - 7; cf. On The Origin of Tornadoes, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7; Watching The Arctic Die, 2, 3, 4). It does not take an Einstein to figure out that cold weather impairs tornado development.

However, it takes cross-discipline awareness for experts to avoid the myopia of being focused on partial sets of relevant evidence (Jerry X. Mitrovica).

Regular readers know that I watch the Cryosphere as well as the oceans (where the components of the Cryosphere go when they morph into melt water).

The Global Climate is a system made up of individual parts that behave in a systematic way, so one must use cross discipline analysis by, among other things, becoming aware of multiple subsystems (The Damaged Global Climate System, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6).

That is how I hypothesized about the coming demise of tornado formation in the mid-west (cold air breaking off off of the vortex will impair tornado formation).

Back then, that is how I "saw" the current reality coming:
"In fact, no tornadoes have been reported in Oklahoma, which has set a new record ... Kansas is also yet to see its first tornado in 2018 ...Overall for the U.S., fewer tornadoes than average have occurred so far in 2018, and portions of the Plains that would typically expect at least a few tornadoes by now have not seen any of these dangerous twisters ..."
(Weather dot com, emphasis added). Nevertheless, there are, and will continue to be, those in Deniersville who will cross-talk that "we are not in Kansas anymore Toto."

Myopia is not an honest replacement for a robust cross-discipline outlook (Penn State researchers join international effort to study Antarctic ‘doomsday’ glacier).

The doomsday glacier they focus on is only one of a thousand points of light (Antarctica 2.0 - 6, & supplements A, B, C, D, E, F).

Myopic focus is not an effective way to keep everything from happening at once, because something else does that ("Time is nature's way of keeping everything from happening at once." - Brainy Quotes).

Conclusion: time is not on our side when we ignore it:
In the middle of February, one-third of the ice covering the Bering Sea off Alaska’s West Coast vanished within a week when an enormous pulse of heat swept over the Arctic. Scientists were stunned.
...
“We’ve fallen off a cliff: very little sea ice remains in the Bering Sea,” tweeted Rick Thoman, an Alaska-based climatologist with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, on April 29.

Thoman said that the ice disappeared this year four weeks earlier than in any other year except 2017, when its extent was also well below normal.

The ice extent over the Chukchi Sea, just north of the Bering Sea abutting Alaska’s northwest coast, is also abnormally depleted. It recently began its melt season earlier than ever before measured.
(Seattle Times). That is what fragments the Polar Vortex nowadays.

The previous post in this series is here.



3 comments:

  1. More evidence.

    The warm is back after the parts of the polar vortex have subsided and cold air is now gone ... the evidence is that Oklahoma had its first tornado of the year yesterday.

    The tornadoes are back ... until next spring when more of the polar vortex parts flow south once again.

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  2. "‘We’ve fallen off a cliff’: Scientists have never seen so little ice in the Bering Sea in spring" (Seattle Times).

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  3. Winter temperatures are soaring in the Arctic for the fourth "winter in a row. The heat, accompanied by moist air, is entering the Arctic not only through the sector of the North Atlantic Ocean that lies between Greenland and Europe, as it has done in previous years, but is also coming from the North Pacific through the Bering Strait." (NASA studies an unusual Arctic warming event).

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