|Fig. 1 September 28, 2017|
The software module I developed to project the year when the numbers and logic calculated the year that event would take place, indicated that it would take place circa 2024-2025 (When Will The Arctic Sea-ice Be Gone?, 2).
|Fig. 2 No Summer Sea-ice (red line)|
That is the year of "no summer sea ice" but "no winter or summer sea ice" was of course projected to take place about a decade later circa 2038 (Fig. 3).
The graph at Fig. 1 is the current NSIDC graph for summer sea ice extent.
The graph at Fig. 2 has a red line added to the Fig. 1 graph to show the distance yet to go before no summer sea ice takes place in the Arctic.
|Fig. 3 Current Dredd Blog Projection|
It is important to remember that these trajectories for sea ice extent, sea ice volume, as well as for other global warming phenomena, are non linear (that much is obvious).
It works both ways in the sense that we have years with acceleration and years of deceleration.
However, the trend has not changed and will continue its inevitable course.
That much is also obvious.
The previous post in this series is here.