Saturday, October 25, 2025

Paper Tiger Phenomenon - 4

Once upon a time
The paper tigers of science reporting are meowing about King Tides as the cause of East Coast houses falling into the sea ("Moon and Sun made a king tide")..

The Moon and Sun have been around for a long time, and were around when the houses falling into the sea were built far away, 300 yards, from the high tide line long ago.

Stop fantasizing weathermen, and listen up:

"Why have so many houses fallen this year? According to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, climate change is fueling sea level rise by melting glaciers and sea ice and expanding sea water by warming it, all of which accelerates coastal flooding and erosion. North Carolina’s Outer Banks are particularly vulnerable to sea level rise and storm surge, the EPA says, because of the barrier islands’ low elevation and constant shifting. The EPA says beaches along the Outer Banks have been eroding at some of the fastest rates anywhere along the East Coast. Climate change also is blamed for more frequent and more intense storms that affect the coastline and for the increase in “sunny day” flooding along the coast, also called high-tide flooding. The annual frequency of high-tide flooding varies, but NOAA says the Mid-Atlantic region sees about 8 more high-tide flood days each year now compared to the year 2000."

(Read more here), These houses have been safe for a long time (about 5 decades, 50 years):

"Cape Hatteras National Seashore officials reported Monday that another oceanfront house in Rodanthe has collapsed, the fourth in the Hatteras Island community in a little more than a year. While the bulk of the debris is at the location of the collapsed structure, 23228 East Point Drive, visitors should use caution if nearby on the beach and in the ocean, seashore staff advised. Supporter Spotlight Support Outstanding Reporting on Coastal Issues Coastal Review has again been recognized by the North Carolina Press Association for editorial excellence, and we need your support to continue delivering award-winning coverage of the coast. Please give today! Cape Hatteras National Seashore staff are communicating with the owners to coordinate the removal of the house and all related debris. The 1,116-square-foot house built in 1976 has three bedrooms and a bath and a half, according to tax records. It was valued in 2020 at $298,800. "

(Read more here). USA 2025 is already in the top 3 worst years with only half of the year considered:

"During the first six months of 2025, there have been 14 separate billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in the U.S., costing $101.4 billion. 

The Los Angeles wildfires in January 2025 were the costliest event so far this year as well as the costliest wildfire event on record — exceeding $60 billion, or about twice as much as the previous record. 

With 14 events already this year, 2025 is well above the long-term annual average of nine events per year."

(Climate Central). 

Our neighborhood in the Caribbean is endangered too:

 "Hurricane Melissa's center is just over 100 miles south-southwest of Kingston, Jamaica. The hurricane's forward speed is roughly 5 mph, which is the main driver behind some of its biggest threats.

Melissa already rapidly intensified from a tropical storm to Category 3 hurricane in just 12 hours from late Saturday morning through Saturday night, then increased to a Category 4 on Sunday morning, but has temporarily leveled off in intensity. Melissa will strengthen on Monday.

(MORE: Rapid Intensification Is More Common Than You Think)

Outer bands of showers and thundershowers with heavy rain continue to stream north across parts of Jamaica, Hispaniola and Cuba. A wind gust of 46 mph was recorded in Kingston, Jamaica, Sunday afternoon.

A Category 5 Floodmaker

Aside from its wind intensity, Melissa's slow movement over the next several days will lead to prolific rainfall in parts of Haiti and Jamaica."

(Weather Channel). The Warming Climate boyz are still with us (The Warming Science Commentariat, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15).

The next post in this series is here, the previous post in this series is here.



Thursday, October 23, 2025

Paper Tiger Phenomenon - 3

So sayeth the whut house
The old saying "What, me worry?" will occur to some of us because The Republican Insurrection will perhaps not need the military.

There is a "new kid on the block" wha can deliver the final term to Trump:

"THEN... Of greater concern at the moment, at least to me, is the fact that Liberty Vote, a company that nobody ever heard of before last week --- because, apparently, it did not exist before last week --- has just purchased Dominion Voting, the nation's second largest voting system vendor, which supplies election hardware and software to 27 states. It is also the company that Trump and his supporters falsely claimed had stolen the 2020 election from him.

Liberty's CEO is a guy named Scott Leiendecker who was formerly the Republican Election Director in St. Louis, Missouri. He was hired for that job by the city's Election Commissioner at the time, a guy by the name of Ed Martin. Yeah, That Ed Martin. The far-right Republican activist who is now running Trump's "Weaponization" of the Dept. of Justice. The one who is pulling together the corrupt indictments of Trump foes like James Comey and Letitia James, and overseeing Trump's pardons and commutations for fellow corrupt Republicans like disgraced former Rep. George Santos. Yes, that Ed Martin.

Martin's old pal Leiendecker, after serving as the Republican Election Director in St. Louis, went on to create a company named KNOWiNK, which is now the nation's largest electronic pollbook vendor. He now owns both that company and the nation's second largest voting and tabulation system company. What could possibly go wrong?

There is a whole lot we don't know about the purchase, who is funding it, or what Leiendecker intends to do with the company. Though last week's official announcement of the acquisition (which does not appear to even be published in full on the web, as far as I can tell), begins triumphantly: "As of today, Dominion is gone. Liberty Vote assumes full ownership and operational control." The statement then goes on to emphasize "enabling compliance with President Trump's executive order" regarding voting systems as a top priority, even though that Order has since been blocked by several federal judges for failing to comply with the Constitution.

WIRED's Kim Zetter offers the deepest overall background on the purchase, its players, and the many concerns about it from voting system experts.

Our guest today, longtime election integrity advocate and security expert SUSAN GREENHALGH of Free Speech for People published a piece at Slate this week about the out-of-the-blue acquisition that blind-sided, among others, elections officials (Dominion's customers) across the country who were told nothing about it in advance. In her piece, Greenhalgh argues why, although "the announcement that the second-largest U.S. voting system vendor would be in the hands of a self-declared partisan [has] sparked concerns," the "wildly inappropriate and troubling" development "is merely one aspect of the badly broken, opaque, and corrupted election system industry that we’ve been subjected to for decades."

Greenhalgh joins us to discuss concerns about the Leiendecker/Liberty Vote purchase, the "corrupted election system industry" she mentioned, and how Congress, states, local jurisdictions and the Election Assistance Commission (EAC) could take action to mitigate all of this madness and the dwindling confidence Americans have in our elections in the wake of computerized voting systems made by a handful of opaque private companies.

The Dominion website now automatically redirects to Liberty's new, one page site which, for the moment, offers nothing more right now than a letter from Leiendecker focusing on his "promise" for "a 100% American-owned election technology company dedicated to restoring trust in our elections" with, among other things, "American values". The letter vows that the company is "turning the page and beginning the vital work of restoring faith in American elections."

While "faith" is not needed in American elections, public oversight certainly is, in order for Americans to have confidence in their reported election results. Whether Liberty improves on Dominion's record there, remains to be seen. Though lies and insinuations about Dominion --- which won a three-quarters of a billion dollar defamation settlement against Fox "News" after the Republican media outlet repeatedly and knowingly lied about the company --- certainly don't help to restore either "faith" or public oversight and confidence.

Nor does it help that Liberty suggested in its announcement that it would somehow carry out a "top-to-bottom" review of Dominion's hardware and software and would "report any vulnerabilities" it finds. While it's unclear who they would "report" them to, we already know, from last year's trial against the Georgia Sec. of State's mandated use of the company's insecure touchscreen voting systems across the entire state, that there are lots of very serious vulnerabilities in Dominion's systems as well as those made by other companies. But Leiendecker then goes on to vow to somehow replace those systems as needed before the 2026 mid-term elections. As we discuss with Greenhalgh, that is a virtual impossibility, given the time it takes to develop voting systems and have them tested and certified for use by federal and state regulators.

"We need a system that the Devil himself can run," argues Greenhalgh, citing a well-worn phrase among longtime election integrity folks. "The solution is not more transparency with the voting system vendors, just so we know exactly how partisan they are --- although we should know that, we should be entitled to know that --- it should be a system that is so transparent and so auditable --- and that is audited in a trustworthy and public way --- that we can trust the election results at the end of the day, no matter who is running it. That is the solution that we need to be going to."

(The Brad Blog, emphasis added).. 

It is a "party" song "if you know what I mean Verne."

The previous post in this series is here.