On The Origin of Tornadoes - 3

In search of the mythical first tornado

Isn't it interesting that a record setting tornado (widest ever) as well as a new record of two EF5 tornadoes in one short time frame (Weather Channel) happened during this Dredd Blog series?

The El Reno, Oklahoma area was the scene for a 2.6 mile wide EF5 which killed some famous storm chasers.

Then practically right on its heals another EF5 tornado happened within 11 days of that first one, which was evidently the first time two EF5 tornadoes have happened within such a short span of time.

In this post I had wanted to take a look at some tornado statistics, along with the global warming figures and CO2 content in the atmosphere.

Then I was hoping to apply Moore's Law to those data sets for a projection back in time to focus on a span of time when tornado events were likely impacted by our damaged Global Climate System.

I am not of the opinion any longer that Moore's Law is a proper application because of the criticism about using it in areas that it was not designed for (see New Hypothesis Says Life Began Before The Earth) where a paper uses it to some degree to calculate back to a time when biological life began.

So, I will find another, better technique.

But let's look at the numbers from the data of tornadoes from the graph in the previous post of this series, presented again below.

The data (number of tornadoes each year per decade):

1950-1959: 206, 261, 246, 443, 570, 606, 518, 868, 576, 614
1960-1969: 619, 721, 667, 476, 719, 918, 593, 939, 668, 617
1970-1979: 671, 904, 747, 1115, 974, 924, 848, 861, 802, 865
1980-1989: 876, 786, 1066, 939, 925, 704, 779, 662, 704, 872
1990-1999: 1151, 1144, 1312, 1186, 1094, 1253, 1181, 1154, 1440, 1364
2000-2009: 1079, 1232, 957, 1415, 1842, 1267, 1142, 1117, 1739, 1182
2010-2012: 1315, 1777, 957

The averages for each decade above total to:

1950-1959: 491
1960-1969: 694
1970-1979: 871
1980-1989: 831
1990-1999: 1228
2000-2009: 1297
2010-2012: 1350

(Source: NOAA database). The total tornadoes recorded in the NOAA tornado database is 58,169 during 1950-2012, and when divided by 62 years (1950-2012) it calculates out to an annual average of 938 tornadoes per year during that span of time.

The take away from these numbers is that tornadoes are on the increase in a similar upward slope, when compared to global temperature increases, and atmospheric carbon dioxide PPM increases.

A 7% bell-curve formulation of the foggy past, fused with the unfoggy abundant scientific observation year 1950, indicates:

206 (1950), 192 (1940), 179 (1930), 167 (1920), 156 (1910)
146 (1900), 136 (1890), 118 (1880), 110 (1870), 103 (1860)
96 (1850), 90 (1840), 84 (1830), 79 (1820), 74 (1810), 69 (1800)
65 (1790), 61 (1780), 57 (1770), 54 (1760), 51 (1750)

(Bell Curve projection [first half] back to 1750). This ~7% regression from 1950 back to 1750 indicates that the origin of tornado impact caused by global climate system damage would be circa 1700 A.D.

That era was when the first flickers of the first Industrial Revolution began, fueled at first by coal:

It was, however, the development of the Industrial Revolution that led to the large-scale use of coal, as the steam engine took over from the water wheel. In 1700, five-sixths of the world's coal was mined in Britain.

(Wikipedia, "Coal", emphasis added). Then there was a war-based, Oil-Qaeda based, conversion to petroleum (The Universal Smedley - 2).

I think this data shows that the criticism of Climate Central in the previous posts of this series is proving to be quite valid.

The next post in this series is here, the previous post in this series is here.

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Knocking on Heaven's Door ... "That long black cloud is coming down":

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