Sunday, March 1, 2026

The El Nino/La Nina Chronicles - 2

Fig. 1 El Nino and La Nina Zones
In Layers 8-11

In the first post of this series all zones in the El Nino / La Nina layers were graphed (The El Nino/La Nina Chronicles, graph).

Today, only the zones in the most active location are graphed (Fig. 1).

Comparing today's graphs with the heat content (potential enthalpy) of only those zones with the general graph of the El Nino / La Nina ups and downs since 1950 is still difficult (Fig. 2).

The ocean depths beneath the depths generally though to be the area of El Nino/La Nina activity tell a story of lots of heat movement that should also we considered when judging the current hypotheses.

Fig. 2 One Way Of Looking At It

One professor says there is some mystery in the current hypotheses (The Mystery of El Niño).

So, don't get too frustrated trying to resolve the ups and downs on Fig. 2 with the graphs of heat flux shown on the graphs in the appendix (Zoned-In Appendix) because it is difficult to imagine that all of that activity is caused by winds blowing on the surface of that area (Fig. 3).

Fig. 3 Winds of Change Hypotheses

All of the ocean water down to thousands of meters under the zones involved is not going to rise as envisioned.

In fact, even the strongest winds in tropical cyclones drive heat down, not up ("Powerful winds under tropical cyclones (TCs) mix thermal gradients in the upper ocean and thereby transfer heat down into the thermocline." Link).

It is entirely appropriate to adjust hypotheses to new discoveries.

The hypothesis that saturation can be part of the picture in El Nino/La Nina dynamics may be a way to reconcile some parts of the current way of thinking (The Saturation Chronicles, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 , 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20).

So can the photon current hypotheses (The Photon Current, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16 , 17, 18, 19, 20, 21). 

The previous post in this series is here.



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