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| More hopey than changey |
"Mann warns, during our broad discussion, that the time for action to prevent the worst effects of climate change is now quickly running out."
I asked Dr. AI (a.k.a Google AI bot) about this and the good doctor pointed out that:
Dir. Mann has indicated that The specific time frame he envisions for this action involves meeting two primary targets:
Reduce global carbon emissions by 50% within the current decade (by 2030); Achieve net-zero emissions by mid-century (around 2050).
Mann notes that the scientific consensus (as outlined by the IPCC) is that if we achieve these goals, we can likely keep the warming of the planet below the critical 1.5 degrees Celsius threshold, thus preventing the most dangerous and irreversible climate impacts.
He argues that the obstacles to meeting this time frame are entirely political, not physical or technological. By immediately transitioning away from fossil fuels and investing heavily in renewable energy, we can avert the worst-case scenarios and "preserve what I call our fragile moment" (the stable climate of human civilization)."
(Dr. AI). Evidently the Mann cart is before the Mann horse:
"The saying 'Don't put the cart before the horse' means to do things in the correct, logical order, because reversing the natural sequence (the horse must pull the cart, not the other way around) makes progress impossible or ridiculous, often leading to confusion, wasted effort, or failure by tackling secondary issues before foundational ones."
(Dr. AI). Copernicus: "2024 is the first year to exceed 1.5°C above per-industrial level" (Link, emphasis added).
It would seem that acceleration research should have been exhausted The Question Is: How Much Acceleration Is Involved In SLR? - 12).
It is likely that a major factor in acceleration is "saturation" (The Saturation Chronicles - 12).
As it stands now, the horse is wondering where the cart is going.
The previous post in this series is here.
Dr. Mann says in his latest book (Science Under Siege): "Armed with the information in this book, we can be empowered to promote scientific truths, shine light on channels of dark money, dismantle the corporations poisoning the planet, and ultimately avert disaster." Not likely because "Hopey Changey" of this sort is more hopey than changey.
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