Fig. 1 (modified Fig. 5.2 @ Bindoff et al., 2007) |
I. New Module Put To Work
The graphic at Fig. 1 (which is Fig. 5.2 in the paper I recently cited: On Thermal Expansion & Thermal Contraction - 16) has layers 1-16 marked (0 & 17 are out of scope).
Fig. 2 Hypothesized Steric SLC |
Fig. 3 Layer Zero |
That is not the way bathtubs work, so I will be glad when the use of that term is relegated to historical mistakes of the oceanographer realm.
II. Numbing Evidence
Fig.4 Layer One |
It purports to show 'steric' sea level rise in a trend that seems to mimic Greenland-and-Antarctica-caused types of sea level rise (the "old-fashioned" melting ice type).
Fig.5 Layer Two |
That dovetails with the graphs I generated (Fig. 3 - Fig. 19) for reader perusal while reading this post.
Fig.6 Layer Three |
The first two panels are generated from PSMSL tide gauge stations in the particular layer being graphed.
The temperature and salinity measurements in the WOD database at all depths in a particular layer are averaged into one data value for each year the graph covers.
Fig.7 Layer Four |
The years involved in the WOD CTD & PFL temperature and salinity measurements are matched to the annual sea level measurements in the PSMSL database.
(Even though there are far more measurements in the PSMSL database, in terms of years, I only use those years that are also in the WOD datasets.)
III. Numbing Lack of Evidence
Fig.8 Layer Five |
Be sure to also notice where they fit (in terms of latitude & longitude) on that graphic at Fig. 1.
Can you see that salinity & temperatures measured at those layer locations also vary from time to time?
That is what the contrasting colors also indicate on the graphic at Fig. 1.
Fig.9 Layer Six |
Where it shows different colors at different locations (meaning different heat content, meaning different temperatures), the 4-panel graphs show variation in temperature and in salinity.
Fig.10 Layer Seven |
No, I go all the way.
That is, I go as far and wide, and as deep as the measurements in the WOD database go.
Today's graphs cover all the water in the oceans (except Layer Seventeen, the Antarctic, the South Polar region) where there is robust data in the CTD and PFL datasets to make it worthwhile.
Fig.11 Layer Eight |
After perusing the Fig. 3 - Fig. 19 graphs, I can't see any coherent correlation between or among the sea level change patterns and the temperature-salinity patterns.
Fig.12 Layer Nine |
Visually, it is much more like the sea level change graphs than it is like the temperature-salinity graphs.
Fig.13 Layer Ten |
Fig.14 Layer Eleven |
Did they use PSMSL in situ tide gauge station records that produce a pattern of a specific area?
Fig.15 Layer Twelve |
IV. Research Should Benefit Society
Fig.16 Layer Thirteen |
The global mean average bathtub model approach does not do that.
It is more like the song "little houses made of ticky tacky that all look the same" or the "one size fits all" saying.
Fig.17 Layer Fourteen |
Fig.18 Layer Fifteen |
V. Localized For Your Officials
We often see written that "sea level rise and fall have different values" but that seems to be a cop out ("Furthermore, changes in the storage of heat and in the distribution of ocean salinity cause the ocean to expand or contract and hence change the sea level both regionally and globally." - Bindoff et al., 2007).
Obviously, engineers working on revisions to sea ports can't use abstract notions about what is happening globally or in a region far away.
They must have exact measurements and sufficient visionary analysis to know how to engineer specific solutions (Why Sea Level Rise May Be The Greatest Threat To Civilization, 2, 3, 4, 5).
VI. A World of Difference
Fig.19 Layer Sixteen |
The Industrial revolution which began circa 1750 eventually brought concepts of mass production and a bias against "different strokes for different folks."
This has impacted researchers in the scientific community who are in the "global mean average" trance.
They have lashed out against the once robust number of tide gauge stations designed to inform people around them what is happening where they actually live and work (The Warming Science Commentariat - 11).
These local observation points that have provided specific information (about what is happening where local reality takes place) are not being perpetuated, not being rebuilt.
Their numbers are in decline.
VII. Conclusion
The safety of people everywhere, then, is also in decline.
That is especially true when, as in the U.S.eh?, a coup takes place which engenders behaviors that are chillingly close to the behavior of mass-murder suicide plots (MOMCOM's Mass Suicide & Murder Pact, 2, 3, 4, 5).
"Make it so, Number One".
The next post in this series is here.
Ode to "ticky-tacky" (a.k.a. oil, the lifeblood of the U.S.eh? economy):
"Hundreds Of Icebergs Have Clogged Shipping Routes In The North Atlantic" (link)
ReplyDeleteCold water absorbs heat more readily than warm water, thus, one facet of the fate of the heat in warmer surface waters is to spontaneously flow to the colder water (Scientific American).
ReplyDelete"When a hot and a cold body are brought into contact with each other, heat energy will flow from the hot body to the cold body until they reach thermal equilibrium, i.e., the same temperature. However, the heat will never move back the other way ..." (Live Science, 2nd Law of Thermodynamics).
"An example of an irreversible process is the problem discussed in the second paragraph. A hot object is put in contact with a cold object. Eventually, they both achieve the same equilibrium temperature. If we then separate the objects they remain at the equilibrium temperature and do not naturally return to their original temperatures. The process of bringing them to the same temperature is irreversible" (NASA).