Friday, November 4, 2016

The Warming Science Commentariat - 10

From the book
I. Yesterday All My Troubles Seemed So Far Away

Yesterday I took a look at coups in general (A Tale of Coup Cities - 13); so today I want to focus on the global coup that began in Britain & the not long after our collective entry into the 20th Century (The Universal Smedley - 2, A History of Oil Addiction - 2).

A coup that is going stronger than ever here in the 21st Century (Greenland & Antarctica Invade The United States, 2, 3, 4Why Sea Level Rise May Be The Greatest Threat To Civilization, 2, 3, 4, 5).

I am speaking of a coup of change (from a green world where global warming was not yet born, where peace was not yet extinct) into a world where the coup some call the addiction to oil and war now thrives (Glorious Addictions - War & Oil, 2).

From now on let's  call that coup "The Slow Train Coming".

II. Now It Looks As Though They Are Here To Stay

This coup is not one that the military planned, but they have been instrumental in perpetuating it (The Fleets and Terrorism Follow The Oil - 2).

To the contrary, they warned of it being a threat to national security in 2009 (Global Climate & Homeland Insecurity - 2), and continue to (GMACCC).

To some extent that is because, militarily, they can do nothing whatsoever to stop the coup (Why The Military Can't Defend Against The Invasion).

The policy coup that I am writing about in today's post is now even taking potshots at the military (On the Front Lines of Rising Seas: Naval Station Norfolk, Virginia, Rising oceans threaten to submerge 128 military bases).

The east coast part of the coup is underway, as they look toward being underwater (Hurricane Matthew Takes Out Beaches, The Extinction of Chesapeake Bay Islands).

III. It's The Coup of The Warming Science Commentariat

The minions of Oil-Qaeda knew about the national security threat well before the military did (Smoke & Fumes, The Private Empire's Social Media Hit Squads - 2, Humble Oil-Qaeda).

Even way back then Oil-Qaeda began to spend the big bucks to dumb down the warming science commentariat (TWSC).

To this day the TWSC are still, for the most part, all too clueless:
In fact, most of our historical data on sea levels comes from devices call tide gauges. Tide gauges bob and dip with the rising and lowering sea, marking the changing levels as they go. And there are continuous gauge records going back hundreds of years [CORRECT: they have even measured sea level FALL since circa 1774].

But there's reason to believe those records may not tell the full story of how sea levels have changed [WRONG: they tell only what they know at their locations as they should ... and as TWSC should].

A study published October 9 in the journal Geophysical Research suggests a simple reason tide gauge records may lead scientists to underestimate sea level rise [WRONG: underestimating sea level rise is the IPCC's job which they do quite well thank you; tide gauge stations are even used to validate satellite telemetry ("Tide gauge data are used to validate ocean models and to detect errors and drifts in satellite altimetry" UCAR NCAR)]: There aren't enough of them [WRONG: I use about 1,400 PSMSL tide gauge station records from all over the globe], and they're in the wrong places. [WRONG: they are where the people who are endangered by sea level are ... exactly where they should be ... the marine life out in the ocean vastness is not endangered by sea level change]

Current estimates of sea level rise, drawn from tide gauge records, have the oceans gaining 1.5 to 1.8 millimeters per year [WRONG: tide gauge stations do not do global averages, they only do actual sea level measurements at their particular latitude and longitude. The "bath tub modellers" created the global average to gloss over the true nature of sea level change] - already enough to flood major cities in living lifetimes without any acceleration. (And we know it will accelerate.)

The problem is those estimates come from gauges that weren't built to track global sea levels [WRONG: that is not a "problem" it is a reality that they can't measure sea level rise other than where they are DUH!]. Instead, they're clustered around North Atlantic coastal cities [WRONG: they are all over the world, north, south, east, and west (PSMSL)], where they were initially installed to help monitor shipping lanes [WRONG: they were originally installed to measure local sea level change before cargo shipping lanes even existed]. Unfortunately, the North Atlantic may not be the best place to measure sea level rise. Meltwater from major ice sheets actually tends to flow away from there, often toward the southern hemisphere [WOW, THE AUTHOR IS A PLUMBER WHO KNOWS THAT S**T FLOWS DOWN HILL ... WHOOPIE !!].
(Monkey Business Insider). Oil-Qaeda must really take note of this valuelessness and chortle often (Oil-Qaeda & MOMCOM Conspire To Commit Depraved-Heart Murder, 2, 3).

IV. Conclusion

The realm of the clueless warming science commentariat is shameless (The Warming Science Commentariat, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8).

The next post in this series is here, the previous post in this series is here.

"Yesterday [Is Gone]"

Yesterday all [our] troubles seemed so far away.
Now it looks as though they're here to stay.
Oh, [we] believe in yesterday.

Suddenly [we're] not half the [world we] used to be.
There's a shadow hanging over [us].
Oh, yesterday came suddenly.

Why [it] had to go, I don't know, [it] wouldn't say.
[we] did something wrong, now [we] long for yesterday.

Yesterday [life] was such an easy game to play.
Now [we] need a place to hide away.
Oh, [we] believe in yesterday.


(apologies to Beatles)


  1. Great class today Dredd! I saw that study too-goodness they are sneeky!

    Have been recently bouncing around the CSIRO's site was pleased to see their conclusions line up behind yours.

    I.e. "•remote effects due to melting of land ice - when a large body of ice melts sea level falls nearby but increases in the far field."

    Seems the 'scaled up ice-sheet discharge' is an academic wild card and source of tension and the IPCC AR4 states that "larger rises cannot be excluded."

    Love the 'Yesterday' 're-work'!
    Grab your Telecaster and join Emmy Lou's 'Hot Band'!

    Ain't Living Long Like This

    1. Mark,

      We have to keep on 'splainin' until they get it ... they all deserve to know.

  2. H/T to Tom for finding the Business Insider story & link.