Thursday, January 19, 2017

Alarmists Unite !

Fig. 1
We just finished three sequential years of "the hottest year on record" with the end in sight (Hansen).

"Temperatures are heading toward levels that many experts believe will pose a profound threat to both the natural world and to human civilization." (We're Number One).

After all these years of Dredd Blog being an "alarmist" it is really beginning to become the best thing going, because without any alarm there is no chance to respond (Global Climate & Homeland Insecurity, 2009).

Some have even fingered the as the Agnotology capital of the world:
"Americans always do the right thing, after exhausting all other possibilities."
Fig. 2

- Winston Churchill

"There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there has always been. The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that 'my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge.'

~ Isaac Asimov
Global warming deniers have now taken the helm of the U.S. Government.

Thus, the cool thing for those suffering from the denialist plague, who like to think that getting a heads up by a warning is a bad thing, is to erase our memory with their new-found power.

"One if by land, two if by sea" seems to be another part of history skipped over by those who are not here (You Are Here).

Fig. 3
Now that the acceleration of heating, the acceleration of ice sheet collapse, and the acceleration of catastrophe expenses is upon us, the solution from Agnotology central is to do what Bill Maher suggested (see video below).

Meanwhile, we alarmists continue to study the data provided by some excellent organizations that may become endangered species, because it can be 'erased' like human memory  (PSMSL Update, PSMSL Update - 2).

Fig. 4
I have the Antarctic sea ice database working now, following the implementation of the Arctic sea ice database I talked about recently (Databases Galore - 16).

An example of the flexibility of the design is shown in Fig. 1, where data from two places as far apart from one another as one can get on this planet, are used in one graph.

Sometimes we forget that after "the librul scientists" changed the flat Earth into a globe, it is summer at Antarctica while it is winter in the Arctic (Once Upon A Time In The West - 2).

The database can be used to more easily display either one area alone (Fig. 2, Fig. 3) or two areas in one graph (Fig. 1, Fig. 4), which is why I like to have and use datasets rather than linking to graphs already made into unflexible JPEGs.

I look forward to blending and melding the sea ice datasets with other datasets regular readers are familiar with (e.g. PSMSL, WOD, GISS, CSIRO, NASA, etc.).


  1. Loved the Asimov quote, Dredd. So true - especially today. i'm still following your work, but don't comment as often now.

    Paul Beckwith does a talk (in 4 parts) on sea level rise. Have a listen, if interested and when you have time:

    Global Sea-Level is Rising Faster and Faster: Part 1 of 4

    [He also just finished a 3-part one on climate change and its effect on global food supply, if you or your readers are interested.]

    Keep up the good work!


    1. They guy thinks that thermal expansion is a main factor of sea level change.

      Dredd Blog has debunked that very prevalent error.

    2. randy,

      Yes, he says:

      05:39 "So why is this happening ... triggered by thermal expansion of sea water is the main reason ... when you expand a fluid molecules are moving apart so you get this thermal expansion ..."

      That is the IPCC engendered myth.

      The reality is out there too:

      "... we conclude that most of the change in ocean mass is caused by the melting of polar ice sheets and mountain glaciers ..." (Nature, Contribution of ice sheet and mountain glacier melt to recent sea level rise, by J. L. Chen, C. R. Wilson & B. D. Tapley).

      That thermal expansion error which Beckwith swallows is popular, but like the others Beckwith criticized (e.g. the amount of SLR and when), it will fade too in time.

      No one has shown the evidence for the "thermal expansion is the major factor of SLR" assertions for a good reason.

      There isn't any.

      It is a minor contributor to sea level rise (somewhere around 5.1 percent at max).

      Displacement (ice sheets entering the sea by melt or calving) is the largest factor, second is ghost water, and third is thermal expansion, uplift, etc. (the ~5.1% group).

      Most don't even know about Woodward 1888 and Mitrovica 2001, 2011, etc.

  2. Where did you hear that, randy? All he's saying is that melting of the ice caps is going to add to sea level rise. In fact, he goes on to say that all that cold water will somewhat mitigate the overheating we're experiencing (at least for a while). I've been here long enough to know that thermal expansion is a non-issue compared to sheer volume of water coming from ice. C'mon man, give me a little credit, eh?


    1. Tom,

      Check out the video in today's post.

      Our memory is in danger.

      Got thermal? (On Thermal Expansion & Thermal Contraction, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9).

      Got ghost water? (The Ghost-Water Constant, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7).

      Thermally expand this: (Proof of Concept - 3, Proof of Concept - 5).

      We need to stop promoting the clueless commentariat and start criticizing them instead.

      They need it (The Warming Science Commentariat, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11).

  3. "Thus, the cool thing for those suffering from the denialist plague, who like to think that getting a heads up by a warning is a bad thing, is to erase our memory with their new-found power."

    Yeah, and the Denialists don't have to limit the purge to the government sector, either. They can expend it into the private and nonprofit sectors, too, because they can deny federal funding, certification for student loans, contracts, non-profit status, etc., to universities, companies and NGOs that refuse to purge their organisations.

  4. "With a new president comes a new presidential website. Gone are sections like 'Civil Rights' and 'Reducing Gun Violence' and in are pages like 'America First Energy Plan' and 'America First Foreign Policy.'

    But people also quickly noticed that certain pages seemed to have disappeared altogether. Searches for LGBT turn up nothing and the section on climate change goes to a broken link.

    (Big Changes On White House Website As Donald Trump Takes Over).