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| "At the start of every disaster movie is a scientist being ignored" |
It is said that "at the start of every disaster movie is a scientist being ignored", but perhaps the better statement would be "the start of every consideration of climate disasters begins with a consensus of scientists that current practices are giving rise to serious dangers to society."
After that comes the denial and suicidal societal behaviors of those who control or mainly impact the direction of society.
In democracies today that is usually the commercial interests, and in autocracies it is the ruling autocrat because the realm of academics, scholars, media, and scientists have only an informative role which can be rejected or accepted (UN chief alarmed over 'frightening' climate report).
They are believed or not based on the realm of superficial 'knowledge' which is basically belief or faith in other people (The Pillars of Knowledge: Faith and Trust?).
Sometimes the realm of commercial interests, academics, scholars, media, and scientists don't have all of the information that bears upon a disastrous scenario.
I mean all the information available that they could have, whether that lack of information is by choice, unawareness, or poor research techniques.
For example, none of the following papers have any mention of sea level fall (Sea‑level rise in ports: a wider focus on impacts, Extreme sea levels on the rise along Europe’s coasts, Impacts of climate change on transport).
Dr. Mitrovica (see video below) traveled to one of the nations in the geographic region focused on in those papers, to inform them of some of the relevant dynamics involved, but they could not believe him.
The appendix shows that there are "ups and downs" to sea levels in and around Europe (Appendix Europe).
It isn't too difficult to realize that unless one knows the relevant facts of a dangerous scenario, one cannot competently deal with the relevant solutions (Seaports With Sea Level Change, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13).
The next post in this series is here, the previous post in this series is here.
Dr. Jerry Mitrovica
Shorter video:
at ~31:14: "By taking the [global] average you're assuming something, and you're assuming it implicitly. You're assuming what we call the bathtub model." - Dr. Mitrovica
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