Wednesday, October 7, 2015

Calling All Cars: The Case of the "Missing Six" - 2

Fig. 1
In the previous post of this series we discussed some "missing" members of the "golden 23" tide gauge stations (Calling All Cars: The Case of the "Missing Six").

I have to say that I am still mystified as to their significance, while at the same time I can see that the golden 23 are instructive.

Not only that, the list includes the mother of all tide gauge stations, the tide gauge
Fig. 2
station with the number "1" as its designation, a station that has been keeping records since 1807, as shown in the graph (Fig. 1).

BTW, I have discovered that there are more than six names "missing."

Two of the names, which I assumed to be part of the golden 23 list, are not to be found in the PSMSL list of tide gauge stations (see what hopium does to me).

Fig. 3
Those two, which change the name of the case to "the missing eight," are #3 "Cascais" and #4 "Lagos" (Calling All Cars: The Case of the "Missing Six", at Fig. 2 in that post).

However, the names that were found in the PSMSL database of worldwide tide gauge records, which is also the majority of the golden 23 names, are graphed in today's post (Fig. 1 - Fig. 12).

Except for Auckland, N.Z.  tide gauge stations (PSMSL #150, #217, which shut down in 1998 & 2000) - thus the golden 23 are now the golden 22.

They are all sea level rise (SLR) stations, so they do not tell the story of sea level fall
Fig. 4
(SLF), which can be easily seen by stations outside the golden 23 (e.g. Proof of Concept - 3).

Sea level change (SLC) scientists use the term "fingerprints" as a nickname for patterns, which they also say are established by the representative sea levels of the golden 23 tide gauge station records, in a unique and revealing way.

Those fingerprints shown by the golden 23, which scientists are talking about a lot these days, IMO are not as important as the larger bulk of historical fingerprints provided by the PSMSL tide gauge station records available.

Fig. 5
Perhaps the urge to condense, simplify, and "mean average" all the stations into one mythical global entity has gotten a bit out of hand.

I suggest the use of an SQL database which makes working with the thousands upon thousands of individual records less tedious, especially when followed up with the development of task-specific software modules which can do a lot of analytical work in a very few seconds.

The daunting vastness of the tide gauge records then becomes not much more than a
Fig. 6
few keystrokes of effort.

One thing I like about the golden 23 is that some of them are very old tide gauge stations, even going back to the early 1800's.

Nevertheless, they still tell the same story that the younger stations tell, thus, SLC in either the form of SLR or SLF is an historical fingerprint that cannot be ignored by gainsaying, or denied by fear.

Fig. 7
At least that is true so long as intellectual honesty is at the helm of the ship.

Anyway, some readers may be wondering why all of the graphs show an acceleration in SLR in the near future, so, let me answer that question now and provide some backup references.

The simple answer is that there is widespread forecast of rising temperatures for the air, sea, and land across the globe, following the rise of green house gases.

Furthermore, at current temperatures and CO2 levels, the ice sheets are already losing ice at an accelerating rate :
Measurements from ESA’s CryoSat mission have been used to map the height of the huge ice sheets that blanket Greenland and Antarctica and
Fig. 8
show how they are changing. New results reveal combined ice volume loss at an unprecedented rate of 500 cubic kilometres a year.
The resulting maps reveal that Greenland alone is reducing in volume by about 375 cubic kilometres a year.
Fig. 9
The researchers say the ice sheets’ annual contribution to sea-level rise has doubled since 2009. [Table 1 type contribution - i.e. thermal sea level rise (additional) is not included in that doubling]

Glaciologist Angelika Humbert, another of the study’s authors, added, “Since 2009, the volume loss in Greenland has increased by a factor of about two and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet by a factor of three."
(Peak Sea Level, 2, 3, 4, 5; The Agnotology of Sea Level Rise Via Ice Melt,
Fig. 10
The Question Is: How Much Acceleration Is Involved In SLR?, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7; Greenland & Antarctica Invade The United States, 2, 3, 4; The 1% May Face The Wrath of Sea Level Rise First, Why The Military Can't Defend Against The Invasion, Weekend Rebel Science Excursion - 44, Why Sea Level Rise May Be The Greatest Threat To Civilization, 2, 3, 4, 5). The seemingly least known science concerns the seemingly least known dangers that are upon us.

Dangers that are even at the doorstep of our civilization ("the Antarctic ice sheet is poorly known", ibid).

Fig. 11
The reality is that the big picture is clearly known by NASA scientists who have observed Antarctica up close and personal for many years (video below).

The fact that some of the desk scientists are still in the dark, and use the misleading term "poorly known," does not change the clear reality that a very severe problem exists.

The case is clear when tide gauge stations around the world are viewed individually, bringing reality home to roost (New Type of SLC Detection Model - 7).

Fig. 12
Once I get all the names of the golden 23 tide gauge stations, and then post the remaining graphs, the story of the golden 23 becomes even more clear.

The story is that the golden 23 are just like the other 488 PSMSL tide gauge station records I use (out of 1417 total stations), and all such records are instructive.

The story told to the whole world, to our civilization, is that we face our most serious challenge to date.

Nevertheless, there are powerful forces at work that do not want us to know about it (The Climate Deception Dossiers).

The next post in this series is here, the previous post in this series is here.

A discussion about ice shelves vs. ice sheets:

15:29 when the ice shelf "Larsen A" collapsed the entire glacier's flow speed toward the sea increased ...
18:50 "Larsen B" ice shelf collapse caused the same thing ... the entire glacier's flow accelerated toward the sea ...
19:30 when the ice shelf goes away so does the restraint on the glacier, and they then move faster, 8 times faster, toward the sea
27:15 the East Antarctica Totten Glacier basin contains about as much ice as all of Western Antarctica, and it is destabilizing
30:30 the condition of the ice shelf controls what happens to the ice sheet

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