Thursday, November 12, 2015

Extinction: Sydney, Shanghai, Rio, NYC, Mumbai, London, & Durban

Fig. 1
I. Introduction

My main gripe with establishment climate change sites is their utter disregard for the main problem with sea level change (SLC).

It doesn't matter what type of SLC we are talking about, whether it is sea level rise (SLR) or sea level fall (SLF), either way they do not yet get it, or perhaps they do not yet have the psychological capacity to talk about the extinction of "their civilization."

The same issue is the major failing of establishment climate change scientists who want to talk about their theme song (In The Year 2525) when addressing the issue of SLC, at least in terms of what it will do to "their civilization."

Perhaps all of their personal friends, acquaintances, and professional colleagues are all descendants of those who killed bearers of bad news.

II. How It Might Happen

Fig. 2
For example, they may mention that "if all the ice sheets and glaciers melt, global mean average sea level will increase up to about 263.5 feet above its current level."

But then they quickly add "that will take place circa the year 2525," evidently knowing that such a statement casts a 'law of when' trance upon the hearer:
"The First Law of 'When': the more critical an issue is to the future of our civilization, the difficulty of determining when that critical issue will take
Fig. 3 Central Hopium
effect tends to increase exponentially.

The Second Law of 'When': the greater the amount of time it takes for that critical issue to play out completely tends to exponentially diminish Civilization's grasp of that critical issue.

The Third Law of 'When': the more destructive the impact which that critical issue would have on civilization tends to exponentially increase the time when that critical event will be understood to have begun to take place."
(Quotes Page, cf. Choose Your Trances Carefully, 2, 3; Hypothesis: The Cultural Amygdala, 2, 3, 4; Comparing a Meme Complex to a Cultural Amygdala).

III. Where It Originates

The hearers I am speaking of are the children of culture, those who fancy their souls as being wrapped in the swaddling clothes of mother civilization:
It’s no accident that our political beliefs are structured by our idealizations of the family. Our earliest experience with being governed is in our families. Our parents “govern” us:

Fig. 4 Mother Civilization & her civilians
They protect us, tell us what we can and cannot do, make sure we have enough money and supplies, educate us, and have us do our part in running the house.

So it is not at all surprising that many nations are metaphorically seen in terms of families: Mother Russia, Mother India, the Fatherland.

In America, we have founding fathers, Daughters of the American Revolution, Uncle Sam, and we send our collective sons and daughters to war.

In George Orwell’s dystopian novel 1984, the voice of the totalitarian state was called Big Brother.

As George Lakoff discussed at length in his 1996 book, Moral Politics, this metaphorical understanding of the nation-as-family directly informs our political worldview. Directly, but not consciously. As with other aspects of framing, the use of this metaphor lies below the level of consciousness.
(Security: Familyland, Fatherland, or Homeland?). For reasons which to me are obvious, I prefer to call it in loco parentis, and I do mean loco (In Loco Parentis & Parens Patriae, 2).

IV. How To Stop Being A Civil Womboid

Fig. 5
It is certainly true that if all the ice of the world melts and flows into the sea that global mean average sea level will rise some 80.32 meters or 263.5 feet (USGS).

You know, "in the year 2525."

But what amount does it take to severely damage or even bring down civilization as we know it?

Fig. 6
Even a global mean average SLR of about 1 meter (3.28 ft.) would be a catastrophe.

Remember that some areas would have a higher SLR than that global mean average.

For example, the U.S. east coast would experience a higher SLR than most other global coastal areas:
To spark our interest, and bind ourselves to a sober view of this phenomenon which is called "The Biggest Story in the World" (according to a worldwide circulation news source), first consider the following quote from the video below:
2:43 - "One meter [of SLR] would be a global catastrophic event, 3 meters would remap the world as we know it?"

2:50 - "Yes, absolutely."
(emphasis added). This allows us to focus our attention on 1m / 3ft. of SLR, because it would be "a global catastrophic event."

The delicacy of the issue can be seen (Fig. 2) by realizing that only 1.14% of the global ice volume needs to melt to get us there (3 ft ÷ 263.5 ft. = 0.011385 = 1.14%).

The overall invader needs to use only 1.14% of its forces to accomplish the invasion.
(Greenland & Antarctica Invade The United States). When only 1.14% of the total global ice sheets and glaciers melt, that will cause a global mean average SLR of about 1 meter (~3.28 ft.).

Fig. 7
Talking about the year 2525 "when all of the ice has melted" is imbecilic beyond the pale.

It is quite likely that the words least used in establishment mainstream "science reporting" are the words which (in an adult society that can take care of itself), would be appropriate to be used the most.

That would be the words of warning, the words that would cause the powers that be, the adults in the room, to take heed.

Those words do not exist, however, to those who are psychopaths, to those who are animated by some form of alien criminal cognition (The Harm Oil-Qaeda Has Done).

V. In The Year 2025

Let's talk the year 2025 then, since Hansen et al. (2015) mentioned that it is possible that a ten foot (10 ft.) SLR could take place in some areas of the globe by the year 2050 (A Paper From Hansen et al. Is Now Open For Discussion - 3).

The year 2050 is 35 years from now, so I submit that a "1 meter (~3.28 ft.)" SLR by 2025
Fig. 8  Chesapeake: This already happened
(10 years) fits into that acceleration pattern (3/10 6/20 10/35).

It follows, using the concept of acceleration (which they call "doubling" of melt or calving), that we are in danger already --as shown in Fig. 8 and Fig. 9 (The Extinction of Chesapeake Bay Islands).

That is, among other things, because of the enormous amount of time, money, and human resources that are mandatory in such large scale public works (Weekend Rebel Science Excursion - 44).

VI. On To More Reality, Less Fantasy

Let's take a look at one of the establishment climate change sites and establishment climate change scientists that I alluded to in the first sentence of today's post:
"Long-term sea level rise ... threatens major coastal cities ... London,
Fig. 9 An old graveyard buried by SLR (already happened)
Shanghai, Mumbai, Sydney, Rio de Janeiro, Durban and New York ... we show projections of post-2100 sea level rise ... Projections of locked-in sea level come from our peer-reviewed research published October 12 in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.A. A special Climate Central-led report, published November 9, describes the application of those projections to global elevation data for making the maps upon which these images are based.
(see Fig. 3, Climate Central). There it is, the classic mindless blank statement which is utterly meaningless and very deceptive, as illustrated by "The Laws of When" presented alongside that imaginary picture at Fig. 3.

The Dredd Blog approach is to use the actual SLC history of a particular city, by studying actual tide gauge station records in the area of that city (see PSMSL Tide Gauge Station List).

In today's post, I have presented some graphs of stations, which represent actual data at actual locations, some with future projections (Fig. 1, Fig. 2, Fig. 5, Fig. 6, Fig. 7).

Those stations are at or near the imaginary "post-2100" locations in the surreptitious hopium piece (Why Sea Level Rise May Be The Greatest Threat To Civilization, 2, 3, 4, 5).

I would rather do that instead of using phony non-photos offered to represent adult concepts, but which are in reality only childish avoidances.

VII. Conclusion

Don't Say That About Mommie Civilization
"One thing is for sure on the subject of global warming induced climate change: if there was ever a time to err on the safe side, it was long ago." - Dredd Blog Quotes Page

Avoidance by ignorance is either childish or psychotic.

That is why children walk onto an interstate freeway wondering what all those blurry objects are.

It is also why psychopaths plunge ahead into the climate change abyss, their authoritarian victims following close behind (The Psychology of the Notion of Collective Guilt, The Authoritarianism of Climate Change, The Private Empire's Social Media Hit Squads - 2).


  1. It is utterly discussing when Oil-Qaeda and its minions pretend that deadly things are far off.

    When clearly those things have already been here for years.

    It is depraved heart murder in action.

  2. What Randy said.

    This whole "prosecution" threat is bogus too. What's more likely to happen is that WWIII starts soon and the demand for oil skyrockets and so does the price. It's all manipulation and deception now, anything to make us look away from what's coming environmentally (loss of habitat for humanity) and keep us preoccupied.

    It will benefit all the corporations involved in MOMCOM.

    When you guys have a minute check this out and the short video.
    Let me know what you think.

    Something is going on. Something nuclear.


    1. Tom,

      The Pope is on the same page.

      He called the Paris terrorist attacks "Piecemeal WW III" (Catholic News).

  3. Really good reporting. Nice format & graphics too. I'm not yet sure whats allowed here. I highly respect Guy but he is in fierce denial of Solar Radiation Management. Funny because even the new COOL IT issue of National Geographic has a full color spread of the variety of proposed Geo-engineering projects. Most every Gvt branch openly admits we have funded all sorts of technical & chemical research projects. Not even a secret that Agent Orange was sprayed during I'm still a little confused why McPherson is so adamant that a few chem-spray tests which are even shown in Nat'l Geo never happened. I'm only bringing this up because the new atmospheric test project at DUGWAY PROVING GROUNDS in Utah might be of interest to those who are not in denial of work in progress that involve timelines. The Pentagon is fully aware of Climate Change. DARPA, DoE, DoD have systems in the works that impact negotiations. Certainly it is dangerous to keep altering nature, however, some believe it will buy time. (I work with nuclear safety issues so it is my job to keep warning of rapid disaster if the chemistry or physics of some proposals do not bode well prior to application.) Guy is correct that the "Flying Spaghetti monster" does not exist. But is a huge research operation with extensive sub-contracts. Some top secret things do exist. And some people are concerned about even a fraction of what does get revealed. All my best.

    1. The resumption of testing and plans to build an upgraded research

      laboratory at Dugway could have important consequences for America's

      international relations. Critics claim there is no clear line dividing

      defensive from offensive testing--the scientific knowledge gained at Dugway

      can be used for either good or bad. Does the resumption of this testing

      send a message to other countries that the United States is interested in

      bio-chem warfare? Will it prompt other countries to upgrade their test

      facilities and lead to an escalation in the race to produce

      ever-more-deadly weapons?

  4. Mark, i think the problem is that we'd have to keep doing these mitigating processes FOREVER, which, of course, is impossible. Also, we have no idea what the result would be on the biosphere of our blundering geo-engineering - it's a risk that could make things considerably worse (ie. further aggravate some other problems that would then ALSO need geo-engineering, and on and on). Humanity clearly does NOT know what it is collectively doing. We've ruined the planet and now we're trying to keep it together with duct tape and twist ties. None of these schemes do anything for the other species, which are in steady decline; and none of them will mitigate the weather that is destroying our ability to grow food. None of it is stopping the methane release, and every year our CO2 levels rise - screwing up the atmospheric chemistry (which we also can't 'fix'). How are we going to close the ever-widening ozone hole above the Antarctic continent? Geo-engineering is nonsense imho.


    1. Hi Tom, I'm not for it nor would I approve it as safe. As much as I personally like & admire Guy, I was just surprised by his comments about 6 months ago to others that our massive military-industrial complex was not experimenting or researching SRM at all. I never said a word - but now it is even in the new issue of National Geographic (Bill Nye Global Meltdown) so I can't help but wonder why Guy will not include the danger of our SRM projects in his overall great work on extinction data.

      You & Kevin Moore & Robert Callingham often provide interesting news & links I respect.

      The official mantra of ozone layer recovery is a lie. Without the ozone layer, there would be no terrestrial life on Earth. The sun feels increasingly hot on your skin because it is. Even the backs of whales are being sunburned. UV readings are skyrocketing around the globe and the damage is mounting at blinding speed. Many have begun to notice the intense UV radiation as the protective layers of the atmosphere continue to be shredded by illegal flourocarbons. Shipped from China to A/C companies in Brazil. recently on TV news.

      The Canadian government has long since been refusing to let their scientists communicate with media. In the US, "gag orders" have been placed on all NWS and NOAA personnel. Nearly all current information is controlled. Finding the truth is an ever more difficult endeavor. A rapidly growing mountain of scientific data makes the lethal consequences of hydroflourocarbons all too clear. Despite the Montreal protocol many countries still manufacture ozone depleting destructive and toxic chemicals. NASA tracks evidence around the globe. Is industrial pollution similar to biological warfare?
      Ozone damage is our greatest and most immediate threat short of nuclear disaster. - See more at:

  5. Oh great, the madness HAS started . . .

    Thanks for the info, Mark.


  6. "'Boots on the ground' and other military jargon are designed to confuse" (link).

    They might call SLF 'boats on the ground.'