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Saturday, July 15, 2023

The Peak Of The Oil Wars - 16

Shining light on the source

I. Background

About thirteen years ago, concerning "all things oil wars", a blog post on Dredd Blog contained this observation: "we noted how strange it would be if Iraq became the number one producer of oil in the world, as expected by Lloyd's of London and others." (The Peak Of The Oil Wars - 3).

A few days ago this came out on a blog that focuses on all things oil: "Iraq Takes First Step Towards Becoming The World’s Biggest Oil Producer", and the writer of that post who is competent in that subject matter went on to clearly point out this:

"As analysed in full in my new book on the new global oil market order, not only could this be done with relative ease by Iraq but it could also easily be the precursor to further oil production increases to 13 million barrels per day (bpd) if handled correctly. This would make Iraq the biggest oil producer in the world."

(Oil Price, July 11, 2023, emphasis added). Thus, this Dredd Blog series has "struck oil" once again during its years-long exposé on a major cause of wars, including the Iraq war:

Long before politicians mewled helplessly about the power of “Big Oil”, carbon-based fuels were shaping our very political, legal, intellectual, and physical structures.
...
For instance, the invasion of Iraq in 2003 was a pivotal moment in America’s strategic outlook. America, a global hegemon whose empire was weakening, seized the second largest oil deposits in the world as a way of preventing its economic and political decline.
...
The last declining global hegemon, Great Britain, also engaged in a brutal and highly controversial British occupation of Iraq, in the 1920s, pressed aggressively by the well-known British conservative, Winston Churchill.
(Book Review of Carbon Democracy, emphasis added). Following the advent of the industrial revolution circa 1750 and thereafter petroleum's emergence, war fused with economy:

"Dredd Blog has pointed out that the wars which are devastating the U.S. middle class but radically increasing the wealth of MOMCOM's one-percenter elites were and are being fought for oil."

(The Peak Of The Oil Wars). That is something that has been, for some years now, on the media and government "don't mention this" list.

II. More Recently

In another post in this series we mentioned the tip of the iceberg of the ongoing Ukraine oil war phase:

"When Russia seized Crimea in March, it acquired not just the Crimean landmass but also a maritime zone more than three times its size with the rights to underwater resources potentially worth trillions of dollars.

Russia portrayed the takeover as reclamation of its rightful territory, drawing no attention to the oil and gas rush that had recently been heating up in the Black Sea. But the move also extended Russia’s maritime boundaries, quietly giving Russia dominion over vast oil and gas reserves while dealing a crippling blow to Ukraine’s hopes for energy independence.

Russia did so under an international accord that gives nations sovereignty over areas up to 230 miles from their shorelines. It had tried, unsuccessfully, to gain access to energy resources in the same territory in a pact with Ukraine less than two years earlier."

(The Peak Of The Oil Wars - 10). Now, almost ten years later, the political forces of NATO are adding countries to their membership that border Russia, and the military hardware of NATO countries are somewhat cautiously making their way into Ukrainian hands.

This is the typical threat-posturing that has been going on for over a hundred years in the slow moving suicide machinations of current civilization's oil wars.

Wars which originated on, under, or about the soil of Persia a century or so ago.

III. Closing Comments

I don't expect the oil wars to subside, except on the shallow awareness surface where like in the past century it is shaded by the common propaganda:

"THE conscious and intelligent manipulation of the organized habits and opinions of the masses is an important element in democratic society. Those who manipulate this unseen mechanism of society constitute an invisible government which is the true ruling power of our country. We are governed, our minds are molded, our tastes formed, our ideas suggested, largely by men we have never heard of. This is a logical result of the way in which our democratic society is organized. Vast numbers of human beings must cooperate in this manner if they are to live together as a smoothly functioning society.
Edward L. Bernays

Our invisible governors are, in many cases, unaware of the identity of their fellow members in the inner cabinet.

They govern us by their qualities of natural leadership, their ability to supply needed ideas and by their key position in the social structure. Whatever attitude one chooses to take toward this condition, it remains a fact that in almost every act of our daily lives, whether in the sphere of politics or business, in our social conduct or our ethical thinking, we are dominated by the relatively small number of persons — a trifling fraction of our hundred and twenty [now 320] million — who understand the mental processes and social patterns of the masses. It is they who pull the wires which control the public mind, who harness old social forces and contrive new ways to bind and guide the world.
...
It is the purpose of this book to explain the structure of the mechanism which controls the public mind, and to tell how it is manipulated by the special pleader who seeks to create public acceptance for a particular idea or commodity. It will attempt at the same time to find the due place in the modern democratic scheme for this new propaganda and to suggest its gradually evolving code of ethics and practice."

(Propaganda, by Edward L. Bernays, emphasis added). Old Fast Eddie totally believed in propaganda, and was not all "don't ask don't tell" in the closet about it (he is, therefore, "affectionately" called The Father of Spin).

He and his intellectual descendants still have our heads spinning, but it "wouldn't do to say" that (Chomsky, Hansen PDF).

The previous post in this series is here.





Thursday, July 13, 2023

Was it a Lie, a Delusion, or a Mistake?

For Real

I. Background

For many years we have noticed some strange but massive and obvious events, and yet all or some of the reasons for those events can be "hidden in plain sight" to many of us.

Before I share any Dredd Blog series links to illustrate that point, let me lead-in with this clue: "psychosis can be communicable ... This insidious self-deception occurs not only in couples, but in families, friendships, groups, religious cults, political parties and entire countries." (Psychology Today).

The word 'communicable' in this sense means spread from one entity (e.g. person or group) to another (as in an epidemic).

Now, before we jump to light speed, let me add more clues to that lead-in:  Toynbee wrote volumes about two dozen or so civilizations that we only think about when we are in a history class or a library, however, unlike us he didn't just skim the surface, no, he followed ugly all the way to the bone:

"In other words, a society does not ever die 'from natural causes', but always dies from suicide or murder --- and nearly always from the former, as this chapter has shown."
(A Study of History, by Arnold J. Toynbee). What? Suicide? Murder? ... He was no ordinary historian was he?

That is just the tip of the iceberg, so to speak, as a world famous encyclopedia points out:
"In the Study Toynbee examined the rise and fall of 26 civilizations in the course of human history, and he concluded that they rose by responding successfully to challenges under the leadership of creative minorities composed of elite leaders. Civilizations declined when their leaders stopped responding creatively, and the civilizations then sank owing to the sins of nationalism, militarism, and the tyranny of a despotic minority.

(Encyclopedia Britannica, emphasis added). I would argue that suicide and murder come about by some mixture of delusions, and/or lies, and/or mistakes.

The 'militarism' segment of that particular delusion was well understood by some 'founding fathers' in the sense of 'communicable':

"Of all the enemies to public liberty war is, perhaps, the most to be dreaded, because it comprises and develops the germ of every other.

War is the parent of armies; from these proceed debts and taxes; and armies, and debts, and taxes are the known instruments for bringing the many under the domination of the few. In war, too, the discretionary power of the Executive is extended; its influence in dealing out offices, honors, and emoluments is multiplied: and all the means of seducing the minds, are added to those of subduing the force, of the people.

The same malignant aspect in republicanism may be traced in the inequality of fortunes, and the opportunities of fraud, growing out of a state of war, and in the degeneracy of manners and of morals, engendered by both.

No nation could preserve its freedom in the midst of continual warfare.

Those truths are well established."

(American Feudalism, quoting President James Madison; red word emphasis added). Note that like the 'Psychology Today' clue above, Madison understood that militarism 'develops the germ' ... which is another way of indicating a communicable dynamic at work.

II. On To The Point

One word used above ('suicide') IMO generally indicates the final result after entering into a deep delusion.

Another word used above ('civilization') requires me to emphasize that we are not focusing on individuals to point out the ultimate conclusion which this communicable dynamic brings forth.

Even though it may begin with an individual, and that is the better place to address the beginning of the delusion,  historically as Toynbee revealed it becomes a group dynamic which must be focused on.

The father of psychoanalysis also addressed that reality:

If the evolution of civilization has such a far reaching similarity with the development of an individual, and if the same methods are employed in both, would not the diagnosis be justified that many systems of civilization——or epochs of it——possibly even the whole of humanity——have become neurotic under the pressure of the civilizing trends? To analytic dissection of these neuroses, therapeutic recommendations might follow which could claim a great practical interest. I would not say that such an attempt to apply psychoanalysis to civilized society would be fanciful or doomed to fruitlessness. But it behooves us to be very careful, not to forget that after all we are dealing only with analogies, and that it is dangerous, not only with men but also with concepts, to drag them out of the region where they originated and have matured. The diagnosis of collective neuroses, moreover, will be confronted by a special difficulty. In the neurosis of an individual we can use as a starting point the contrast presented to us between the patient and his environment which we assume to be normal. No such background as this would be available for any society similarly affected; it would have to be supplied in some other way. And with regard to any therapeutic application of our knowledge, what would be the use of the most acute analysis of social neuroses, since no one possesses power to compel the community to adopt the therapy? In spite of all these difficulties, we may expect that one day someone will venture upon this research into the pathology of civilized communities. [p. 39]

...

Men have brought their powers of subduing the forces of nature
to such a pitch that by using them they could now very easily exterminate one another to the last man. They know this——hence arises a great part of their current unrest, their dejection, their mood of apprehension. [p. 40]

(Civilization and Its Discontents, S. Freud, 1929, emphasis added). There is little doubt that this form of psychiatry has not yet been mastered, or even brought to bear upon the problem of mass suicide.

III. A Reason Or Two

At the end of an analysis why doesn't an individual recognize that a mistake has been made in their conclusion, or why do they decide to tell a lie as part of their conclusion, or why more broadly, because of their culture, upbringing, and education, are they deluded about how to deal with their analysis?

We see this in politics, in religion, and other forms of group dynamics that is often described as "group think".

In that regard a recent event, the setting of the Doomsday Clock, included a surprise:

"On 20 January 2022, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists set their infamous Doomsday Clock at 100 seconds to midnight for the third year running. Their accompanying report — entitled ‘At Doom’s Doorstep’ — identified three key factors which brought humanity “the closest it has ever been to civilisation-ending apocalypse”.

Two of these factors are unlikely to surprise many readers: namely, climate change and the growing threat of nuclear war. The third might be a little surprising: “a corrupted information ecosphere that undermines rational decision-making”. Though some media outlets do deal with the concentration of media influence, this is rarely seen as an existential threat."

(The Brussels Times, 2023, interview of Noam Chomsky, emphasis added). Yes, it is one thing when an individual communicates the germ, but it is an existential threat when the mass media spreads it:

"We are in the midst of times that seem increasingly dangerous for the future of both humans and the planet. In this article, we will cover some very tentative predictions about the future of some social psychiatric challenges, or what I call social psychopathologies. If we ignore or do not successfully address these future risks, we may need more than luck to avoid these looming disasters."

(Social Psychiatric Predictions). Yes, luck is mostly something left to gamblers.

 IV. Closing Comments

When an individual makes a mistake during an analysis, then communicates a recognizable falsity thereafter, how should it be dealt with?

Should we call that person a liar if 'in the moment' they believe their conclusion is accurate, or should we simply tell them we think it is a mistake and explain why?

The harshness of calling them a liar might drive them into denial, and then drive them into a stronger form of delusion if we persist in calling them a liar when it was actually a mistake or a delusion (Pathological Lying: Symptom or Disease?).

I see the left-wing media as well as the right-wing media doing this professionally.

Yes, they call each other liars sometimes when the issue is simply a mistake or a professional delusion (Liz Loftus, Memory Expert).

A 'doubling down' can then take place, which is the first step into an even deeper delusion or an even worse mistake.

On the other hand if we are sympathetic and considerate to an individual and initially offer help and consolation (or collectively to a group that has gone astray), we may solve a problem before it gets out of control.

Same with the left-wing and right-wing media ... conferences, meetings, gatherings to find solutions leading to better reporting are worthwhile endeavors.

I have seen both the harsh and the considerate approaches being tried.

But, if we want to avoid the whole gambit of reactionary efforts to solve problems, then we have to, as individuals or as groups, embrace an intense adherence to developing foresight in individuals ("an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure" - Benjamin Franklin).



Monday, July 10, 2023

Antarctica 2.0 - 15

Fig. 1 How 'Heat' Penetrates
Tidewater Glacier Ice

Physicists point out that 'heat' flows to cold per the Second Law of Thermodynamics (NASA).

Quantum physicists point out, further, that the said 'heat' is transferred via a photon emitted from an atom in warmer seawater.

That photon 'instantly' travels through the space between the atoms of warmer seawater then into the colder glacial ice.

When that photon makes contact with an atom in the glacial ice, it is then and there absorbed, adding 'heat' to the glacial ice in the same quantity removed from the warmer seawater (Fig. 1).

No energy is lost, i.e., unlike water current caused melt where molecules impacting molecules generates friction, the overall energy balance does not change because of the mere relocation of photons (conservation of energy). 

This photon based heat transfer dynamic causes more tidewater glacier melt than meets the eye (most of the ice-melt takes place at or near the grounding line where the ice meets the ocean, see video below at ~9:30-10:30).

Meanwhile, the beat goes on ... except that in this case "the catchment of Thwaites Glacier is grounded below sea level on bedrock that deepens inland" (see red triangle shape, Fig. 1; Schmidt, B.E., Washam, P., Davis, P.E.D. et al. Publisher Correction: Heterogeneous melting near the Thwaites Glacier grounding line, Nature 615, E21 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-05861-8; see also Davis, P.E.D., Nicholls, K.W., Holland, D.M. et al. Suppressed basal melting in the eastern Thwaites Glacier grounding zone, Nature 614, 479–485 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05586-0 ).

Dredd Blog keeps apace of or ahead of these developments:

(The Ghost Plumes, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15; The Ghost Photons, 2, 3; The Ghost-Water Constant, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; NASA Busts The Ghost; Quantum Oceanography, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16; In Search Of Ocean Heat, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 ).

It is a public service of Dredd Blog.

The next post in this series is here, previous post in this series is here.



Sunday, July 9, 2023

On The Origin of The Containment Entity - 13

Fig. 1 Cognition: "You've Come a long way baby"

Cognition, like its containment entity the body, is composed of both external and internal containment entities (see example here).

By "external" containment entities I mean, for example, cultural propaganda (The Ways of Bernays).

By "internal" containment, for example, I mean 'self-control' (Cognition in Psychology) or sub-conscious dynamics ("98% of cognition is subconscious").

Fig. 2 What Containment Entity?

In terms of external containment entities which can have a containment effect on cognition across a culture, the link at Fig. 2 shows that even the U.S. Military can and does partake of containment efforts under certain conditions (e.g. Will The Military Become The Police?, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13).

Noam Chomsky used a phrase "It wouldn't do to say" which indicates an awareness of a cultural containment entity that would negatively react to what a person might say (The Third Pole Water Line - 2, first video at bottom of the post; cf. this).

Even in the "science" of cosmology everything is said to have come from a tiny containment entity which did a "bigga bada boom" (Quantum Biology - 9).

It seems to me that since the "cognition" graph (Fig. 1) looks like ocean heat and atmospheric heat graphs, we need to learn more about what forms cognition (The Pillars of Knowledge: Faith and Trust?) eh?

Failure to do so has led to the act of 'suicide' by previous civilizations (How To Identify The Despotic Minority - 14).

The next post in this series is here, the previous post in this series is here.


Containment Entity collapse ... and ... "bigga badda boom"