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| It never stops |
Regular readers know that I have been criticizing the foundation and application of that erroneous hypothesis for quite a while (On Thermal Expansion & Thermal Contraction, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39).
In reply to those who ask "What melt water source can replace the erroneous hypothesis Dredd?" I have answered "the ones that have been overlooked" (e.g. The Ghost-Water Constant, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9; NASA Busts The Ghost; and more recently The Ghost Plumes, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6).
In a recent post I pointed out:
My ultimate intent is to find alternate sources to replace the "missing" water when the erroneous (thermal expansion as "the major" or "a major" cause of sea level rise) hypothesis is no longer advocated ...(The Ghost Plumes - 5). After advancing the ghost plumes idea, I decided to show how little it would take to supplant the current downgraded assertion that "one-third of global mean average sea level rise" (GMSLR) is caused by thermal expansion.
In addition to previous posts, today I do so with some details about the ghost plumes hypothesis.
So, in the following tables notice how so little melt needs to take place in the zones of each Antarctic area in order to equate to one third of GMSLR:
First, note that:
RE: Global Mean Sea Level Rise (GMSLR)
(361,841 m3 of melt water raises GMSL 1 mm)
(current total GMSLR is ~3.4 mm yr; 1/3 of 3.4 is 1.13 mm yr)
(410,086.47 m3 of melt water is 1/3 of GMSLR yr)
RE: Assumed Plume Sea Level Rise (PSLR)
(1/3 (1.33 mm yr) GMSLR is due to Antarctica Plume Melt water)
RE: Relevant Antarctica Grounding Line (AGL)
(length: 47,455,400 m) [see The Ghost Plumes - 6]
Thus:
West Indian Ocean (Area A)
Area's Percent of AGL (APGL)
(14.1758%; 58133.1 m3 yr)
| Zone # | Zone GL Length (m) | Zone% of APGL | Zone's Plume Volume |
| 3603 | 948062 m | 14.093 | 8192.69 m3 yr 22.4304 m3 day 0.934598 m3 hr |
| 3604 | 1.07035e+06 m | 15.9108 | 9249.44 m3 yr 25.3236 m3 day 1.05515 m3 hr |
| 3605 | 1.23595e+06 m | 18.3725 | 10680.5 m3 yr 29.2416 m3 day 1.2184 m3 hr |
| 3606 | 1.09032e+06 m | 16.2077 | 9422.01 m3 yr 25.7961 m3 day 1.07484 m3 hr |
| 3700 | 714801 m | 10.6256 | 6176.96 m3 yr 16.9116 m3 day 0.70465 m3 hr |
| 3701 | 858463 m | 12.7611 | 7418.42 m3 yr 20.3105 m3 day 0.846272 m3 hr |
| 3702 | 809244 m | 12.0295 | 6993.09 m3 yr 19.146 m3 day 0.797752 m3 hr |
East Indian Ocean (Area B)
Area's Percent of AGL (APGL)
(16.6161%; 68140.2 m3 yr)
| Zone # | Zone GL Length (m) | Zone% of APGL | Zone's Plume Volume |
| 3607 | 930701 m | 11.8031 | 8042.67 m3 yr 22.0196 m3 day 0.917484 m3 hr |
| 3608 | 650146 m | 8.24512 | 5618.25 m3 yr 15.3819 m3 day 0.640913 m3 hr |
| 3609 | 771646 m | 9.78598 | 6668.19 m3 yr 18.2565 m3 day 0.760688 m3 hr |
| 3610 | 761075 m | 9.65192 | 6576.84 m3 yr 18.0064 m3 day 0.750267 m3 hr |
| 3611 | 1.32574e+06 m | 16.813 | 11456.4 m3 yr 31.3659 m3 day 1.30691 m3 hr |
| 3612 | 846227 m | 10.7318 | 7312.68 m3 yr 20.021 m3 day 0.83421 m3 hr |
| 3613 | 707331 m | 8.97034 | 6112.41 m3 yr 16.7349 m3 day 0.697286 m3 hr |
| 3614 | 969389 m | 12.2937 | 8376.99 m3 yr 22.9349 m3 day 0.955623 m3 hr |
| 3615 | 922960 m | 11.7049 | 7975.77 m3 yr 21.8365 m3 day 0.909853 m3 hr |
Ross Sea (Area C)
Area's Percent of AGL (APGL)
(20.3385%; 83405.5 m3 yr)
| Zone # | Zone GL Length (m) | Zone% of APGL | Zone's Plume Volume |
| 3616 | 61040.3 m | 0.632429 | 527.481 m3 yr 1.44416 m3 day 0.0601735 m3 hr |
| 3716 | 4.32396e+06 m | 44.7999 | 37365.6 m3 yr 102.301 m3 day 4.26256 m3 hr |
| 3717 | 237006 m | 2.45558 | 2048.09 m3 yr 5.60737 m3 day 0.23364 m3 hr |
| 3816 | 1.05052e+06 m | 10.8843 | 9078.08 m3 yr 24.8544 m3 day 1.0356 m3 hr |
| 3817 | 257695 m | 2.66994 | 2226.87 m3 yr 6.09685 m3 day 0.254035 m3 hr |
| 5715 | 1.11934e+06 m | 11.5973 | 9672.79 m3 yr 26.4827 m3 day 1.10344 m3 hr |
| 5815 | 1.21178e+06 m | 12.5551 | 10471.6 m3 yr 28.6697 m3 day 1.19457 m3 hr |
| 5816 | 896480 m | 9.28829 | 7746.94 m3 yr 21.21 m3 day 0.883749 m3 hr |
| 5817 | 493901 m | 5.11723 | 4268.05 m3 yr 11.6853 m3 day 0.486887 m3 hr |
Amundsen Sea (Area D)
Area's Percent of AGL (APGL)
(8.04768%; 33002.5 m3 yr)
| Zone # | Zone GL Length (m) | Zone% of APGL | Zone's Plume Volume |
| 5711 | 1.16371e+06 m | 30.4711 | 10056.2 m3 yr 27.5324 m3 day 1.14718 m3 hr |
| 5712 | 411150 m | 10.7657 | 3552.96 m3 yr 9.72747 m3 day 0.405311 m3 hr |
| 5713 | 483060 m | 12.6487 | 4174.37 m3 yr 11.4288 m3 day 0.4762 m3 hr |
| 5714 | 1.76114e+06 m | 46.1145 | 15218.9 m3 yr 41.6671 m3 day 1.73613 m3 hr |
Bellingshausen Sea (Area E)
Area's Percent of AGL (APGL)
(31.2306%; 128072 m3 yr)
| Zone # | Zone GL Length (m) | Zone% of APGL | Zone's Plume Volume |
| 5606 | 5.02076e+06 m | 33.8769 | 43387 m3 yr 118.787 m3 day 4.94946 m3 hr |
| 5706 | 3.22357e+06 m | 21.7506 | 27856.5 m3 yr 76.267 m3 day 3.17779 m3 hr |
| 5707 | 2.36998e+06 m | 15.9911 | 20480.2 m3 yr 56.0718 m3 day 2.33632 m3 hr |
| 5708 | 1.9667e+06 m | 13.27 | 16995.3 m3 yr 46.5305 m3 day 1.93877 m3 hr |
| 5709 | 889963 m | 6.00491 | 7690.63 m3 yr 21.0558 m3 day 0.877325 m3 hr |
| 5710 | 1.34962e+06 m | 9.10638 | 11662.8 m3 yr 31.9309 m3 day 1.33045 m3 hr |
Weddell Sea (Area F)
Area's Percent of AGL (APGL)
(9.5913%; 39332.6 m3 yr)
| Zone # | Zone GL Length (m) | Zone% of APGL | Zone's Plume Volume |
| 5605 | 789264 m | 17.3404 | 6820.44 m3 yr 18.6733 m3 day 0.778056 m3 hr |
| 5700 | 1.01235e+06 m | 22.2417 | 8748.24 m3 yr 23.9514 m3 day 0.997974 m3 hr |
| 5701 | 1.32577e+06 m | 29.1276 | 11456.7 m3 yr 31.3666 m3 day 1.30694 m3 hr |
| 5702 | 833240 m | 18.3066 | 7200.45 m3 yr 19.7138 m3 day 0.821407 m3 hr |
| 5703 | 573334 m | 12.5963 | 4954.47 m3 yr 13.5646 m3 day 0.565192 m3 hr |
| 5705 | 17640.5 m | 0.387568 | 152.441 m3 yr 0.41736 m3 day 0.01739 m3 hr |
The hourly amount of melt water required to be generated at most zones (to provide the one third of GMSLR alleged to be caused by thermal expansion) is less than what it takes to fill a hot tub.
We would become impatient waiting an hour for it to fill, because that is sooooo slow.
The required plume melt rate to add up to 1/3 of GMSLR is a very slow vertical plume, but it is a very wide plume.
The "take home", "the bottom line", and yes the gravamen of this is that it is not unreasonable to think that Antarctic thermal plumes are able to account for substantial amounts of melt water which add up to 1/3 of GMSLR (cf. In Pursuit of Plume Theory, 2, 3).
The next post in this series is here, the previous post in this series is here.
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