Invasion of The Port Snatchers

Fig. 1

"The immense cities lie basking on the beaches of the continent like whales that have taken to the land." - Arnold J. Toynbee

Fig. 2

Especially those cities that operate the largest seaports (The World's 10 Biggest Ports).

Seaports which face a foe (a foe called global warming induced climate change) that is geared up for the long haul, geared up to raise the sea level above normal operating levels, now, and for decades to come at those ports  (The Extinction of Robust Sea Ports, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9).

Fig. 3

Fig. 4

The graphs at Fig. 1, Fig. 2, and Fig. 3 show sea level projections out to the year 2100, and include the sea level history at those ports.

Fig. 5

Fig. 6

Those three graphs are based on IPCC sea level projections, low and high.

Fig. 7

Fig. 8

Either way, low or high, the amount that the IPCC projects for those ports is problematic (Weekend Rebel Science Excursion - 44).

Fig. 9

Fig. 10

Graphs at Fig. 2 and Fig. 3 graph sea level at U.S. locations.

Fig. 11

Los Angeles and Long Beach (West Coast, Fig. 3) represent about the 18th and 21st largest sea ports (the pecking order on ports varies some from year to year).

Fig. 12

The U.S. East coast has several busy ports that are not in the top 20, but nevertheless, are quite important.

For example, the large naval base and port at Norfolk, VA, which already suffers some partial shutdowns due to sea level rise.

The WOD Zones (7412, 7312, and 7311) on the West Coast, along with the PSMSL tide gauge stations within those zones is as follows:

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Zone [7412] had [32] stations:

Stn# 630, Stn# 1825, Stn# 193, Stn# 175, Stn# 1245, Stn# 1255, Stn# 1341, Stn# 688, Stn# 1152, Stn# 166, Stn# 921, Stn# 842, Stn# 1242, Stn# 527, Stn# 165, Stn# 385, Stn# 2298, Stn# 2127, Stn# 1633, Stn# 384, Stn# 1354, Stn# 127, Stn# 1325, Stn# 265, Stn# 1285, Stn# 1541, Stn# 1196, Stn# 2214, Stn# 1269, Stn# 1640, Stn# 378, Stn# 1639

Zone [7312] had [7] stations:

Stn# 2125, Stn# 1394, Stn# 10, Stn# 437, Stn# 1663, Stn# 1352, Stn# 508

Zone [7311] had [11] stations:

Stn# 795, Stn# 1457, Stn# 1013, Stn# 2126, Stn# 377, Stn# 245, Stn# 717, Stn# 766, Stn# 883, Stn# 256, Stn# 158

Total Stations: 50

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Some fifty tide gauge station records spanning the years 1854 - 2015 were used to make the Fig. 2 graph from historical and projected future sea level rise.

The WOD Zones for the top ten seaports (1010, 1205, 1211, 1212, 1311, and 1312), which are not in the U.S., contain the following tide gauge stations within their boundaries:

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Zone [1010] had [25] stations:

Stn# 1595, Stn# 1594, Stn# 1591, Stn# 1593, Stn# 1677, Stn# 248, Stn# 1702, Stn# 1678, Stn# 1589, Stn# 1592, Stn# 1703, Stn# 1183, Stn# 1746, Stn# 1534, Stn# 2032, Stn# 1351, Stn# 2068, Stn# 2033, Stn# 1248, Stn# 2034, Stn# 1275, Stn# 1894, Stn# 724, Stn# 1895, Stn# 1896

Zone [1205] had [4] stations:

Stn# 1494, Stn# 1887, Stn# 1716, Stn# 2185

Zone [1211] had [14] stations:

Stn# 933, Stn# 727, Stn# 1406, Stn# 1428, Stn# 1698, Stn# 987, Stn# 1674, Stn# 333, Stn# 1891, Stn# 1034, Stn# 1366, Stn# 1685, Stn# 1902, Stn# 269

Zone [1212] had [11] stations:

Stn# 934, Stn# 887, Stn# 1018, Stn# 1522, Stn# 1105, Stn# 1388, Stn# 1151, Stn# 1411, Stn# 1671, Stn# 545, Stn# 1356

Zone [1311] had [4] stations:

Stn# 1405, Stn# 1404, Stn# 1403, Stn# 614

Zone [1312] had [34] stations:

Stn# 979, Stn# 731, Stn# 723, Stn# 1513, Stn# 1100, Stn# 1101, Stn# 672, Stn# 1147, Stn# 1318, Stn# 661, Stn# 1586, Stn# 1007, Stn# 956, Stn# 1699, Stn# 1675, Stn# 959, Stn# 1527, Stn# 1628, Stn# 954, Stn# 1489, Stn# 1627, Stn# 1066, Stn# 1568, Stn# 1546, Stn# 1155, Stn# 1446, Stn# 1588, Stn# 970, Stn# 1445, Stn# 955, Stn# 997, Stn# 1324, Stn# 1108, Stn# 1365

Total Stations: 92

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Wow, ninety two Tide Gauge Station locations with historical records going back to 1925 were used to make the graph at Fig. 1.

And finally, WOD Zones on the East Coast of the U.S. (7207, 7208, 7209, 7307, 7308, 7309, and 7407) have the following PSMSL tide gauge stations within them:

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Zone [7207] had [7] stations:

Stn# 1646, Stn# 1928, Stn# 563, Stn# 2288, Stn# 2021, Stn# 2287, Stn# 1934

Zone [7208] had [27] stations:

Stn# 2286, Stn# 2289, Stn# 1297, Stn# 1909, Stn# 690, Stn# 526, Stn# 2296, Stn# 1193, Stn# 1714, Stn# 199, Stn# 428, Stn# 1638, Stn# 520, Stn# 1106, Stn# 1107, Stn# 188, Stn# 1701, Stn# 1187, Stn# 1424, Stn# 363, Stn# 1717, Stn# 1696, Stn# 1669, Stn# 270, Stn# 1182, Stn# 1858, Stn# 2123

Zone [7209] had [15] stations:

Stn# 918, Stn# 1020, Stn# 497, Stn# 1038, Stn# 919, Stn# 922, Stn# 538, Stn# 725, Stn# 828, Stn# 161, Stn# 920, Stn# 1835, Stn# 440, Stn# 2297, Stn# 1903

Zone [7307] had [35] stations:

Stn# 234, Stn# 1721, Stn# 1651, Stn# 1720, Stn# 1444, Stn# 862, Stn# 1431, Stn# 2294, Stn# 396, Stn# 2295, Stn# 719, Stn# 1636, Stn# 945, Stn# 399, Stn# 462, Stn# 1635, Stn# 299, Stn# 597, Stn# 1295, Stn# 481, Stn# 360, Stn# 971, Stn# 412, Stn# 1203, Stn# 311, Stn# 148, Stn# 1338, Stn# 636, Stn# 1337, Stn# 224, Stn# 2292, Stn# 135, Stn# 786, Stn# 1153, Stn# 180

Zone [7308] had [13] stations:

Stn# 1884, Stn# 1715, Stn# 1156, Stn# 2215, Stn# 246, Stn# 1641, Stn# 1136, Stn# 1670, Stn# 316, Stn# 716, Stn# 112, Stn# 395, Stn# 1537

Zone [7309] had [0] stations.

Zone [7407] had [35] stations:

Stn# 1223, Stn# 999, Stn# 173, Stn# 201, Stn# 137, Stn# 1798, Stn# 126, Stn# 1005, Stn# 144, Stn# 387, Stn# 951, Stn# 192, Stn# 1244, Stn# 1392, Stn# 1654, Stn# 366, Stn# 12, Stn# 1637, Stn# 519, Stn# 875, Stn# 848, Stn# 362, Stn# 856, Stn# 1068, Stn# 429, Stn# 430, Stn# 351, Stn# 776, Stn# 367, Stn# 1111, Stn# 775, Stn# 235, Stn# 288, Stn# 2291, Stn# 183

Total Stations: 132

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Wooooo Hooooo, one hundred and thirty two tide gauge station historical records provide a good base, a good dataset, from which to project out to the year 2100.

That projection, low or high, signals deep trouble for national security:

The harms associated with climate change are serious and well recognized. The Government’s own objective assessment of the relevant science and a strong consensus among qualified experts indicate that global warming threatens, inter alia, a precipitate rise in sea levels, severe and irreversible changes to natural ecosystems, a significant reduction in winter snowpack with direct and important economic consequences, and increases in the spread of disease and the ferocity of weather events. [quoting U.S. Supreme Court]
...
"By volume, more than 95 percent of U.S. international trade moves through the nation's ports and harbors, with about 50 percent of these goods being hazardous materials." [quoting NOAA 'Ports']

(Will This Float Your Boat - 10). It is easy to see why the military, charged with national security, is troubled by the prospect of "more than 95%" of the nation's supply lines being cut (Will Elections Cure The Disease? - 2, 3).

After all, it was the military that just shut down a pipeline (Army Blocks Drilling of Dakota Access Oil Pipeline), because they have jurisdiction over "national security related supply lines" such as seaports in perilous times:

A soldier fighting in a war today has many of the same basic needs that a soldier had thousands of years ago. Meals, medicines, and munitions are just a few of the fundamental supplies that are needed to keep a military unit operating at full capacity. Soldiers require the same basic life necessities as civilians: nutrition, shelter, and medical supplies to maintain good health. But soldiers must also have weapons and the consumables that weapons need to function, such as ammunition, repair parts, and fuel. So, not surprisingly, great warriors throughout history have carefully planned their strategies around ["logistics" ... aka "warrior stuff"].

(Supply Line Warfare). A great warrior is coming to a seaport near you pilgrim.

Anyway, the other graphs (Fig. 4 through Fig. 12) show geographical and geophysical sources which are the origin of the sea level changes, including some satellite measurements intermingled with PSMSL measurements (Fig. 4, Fig. 5, and Fig. 6).

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