Pages

Tuesday, February 3, 2026

The Saturation Chronicles - 15

Combo View (t_si & p_si parameters) in
function "air_g_chempot_vap_si"

In a previous post on Dredd Blog ("Last" Doesn't Always Mean "Previous" - 8) the layers and zones within those layers were graphed.

Today's graph "Combo View" shows those layers averaged together, plus the high and the low within those layers (which I hope helps us to see that these are not patterns that match the more radical temperature patterns of global-average temperature over those same years - see "A Different Picture" graph below).

The value being graphed in "Combo View" is the "chemical potential" produced by SIA functions in the C++ program I wrote (converting the TEOS-10 SIA Fortran Air module).

A Different Picture

The reason for another look at Ocean Heat Saturation is that atmospheric dynamics are not a "tail wagging the dog" scenario.

I.E. where "the dog" (78.08% nitrogen, 20.95% oxygen = 99.03%) is not controlled by (0.97%) the tail:

"By mole fraction (i.e., by quantity of molecules), dry air contains 78.08% nitrogen, 20.95% oxygen, 0.93% argon, 0.04% carbon dioxide, and small amounts of other trace gases (see Composition below for more detail). Air also contains a variable amount of water vapor, on average around 1% at sea level, and 0.4% over the entire atmosphere."

(Wikipedia, Atmosphere of Earth). The graphs of temperature change over time are more intense and present a different pattern than the minority of atmospheric gasses and vapors do.

Ocean Heat Increase

The ocean heat content increase is another case in point.

That made me wonder about the "90%" and "93%" of the global warming is absorbed by the oceans.

How far back beyond 1955 does the decrease go in terms of percentage?

The heat flow from the atmosphere to the ocean would have to begin at a time when the atmosphere has an excessive amount of heat, then increase as that excessive amount increases.

In other words there has to be a thermodynamic reason for the heat to exit the atmosphere to enter the ocean.

If that reason is "The Second Law of Thermodynamics" ("hot flows to cold") then the atmosphere must be warmer than the ocean for any transit of photons to take place.

Also, by the same token where the ocean is warmer than the atmosphere the heat flow (photon flow) will reverse and flow from the ocean into the atmosphere.

What I am getting at is that the heat content percent flowing out of and/or into the ocean is not a fixed amount unless complete saturation is reached.

Saturation in this case means the capacity to absorb an amount of heat in a reasonable span of time.

In other words, it takes time, and how much time depends on the level of saturation of heat in the ocean at a particular time (The Saturation Chronicles, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 , 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14).

When the absorption time is too long on the heat is too much on any given day, the atmosphere will retain the heat until the saturation decreases.

The previous post in this series is here.